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The Stats Man
Ewen Junior
Data-Led Football Research Built on Long-Term Evidence
Stats Profit is a football research and selections service built on recorded match data dating back to August 2014.
I created Stats Profit to replace opinion-led football betting with a structured, repeatable approach based on historical evidence and disciplined staking.
The model researches domestic league fixtures across 11 top-tier European leagues. Potential selections must meet a defined set of criteria before qualifying, including team-ranking requirements and comparison with historically similar fixtures within the same league.
A fixture can only qualify when the relevant historical group has recorded a home-win rate of at least 80% and has also produced an overall historical profit across the recorded research period.
This does not mean an individual selection has an 80% chance of winning, and no selection is guaranteed. Losing bets, losing periods and drawdowns are part of football betting.
Members receive the qualifying weekend home-win selections, the Bet365 reference price available when each selection is issued, and the tools needed to follow the strategy using the same fixed-stake approach.
How a Stats Profit Selection Qualifies
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Home-win selections only
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Domestic league matches only
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Weekend fixtures only — Saturday and Sunday
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11 top-tier European leagues researched
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The home team must rank within the top four of the Stats Profit ratings
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Team ratings are based on performance across the previous three seasons
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The fixture is compared with historically similar home teams from the same league
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The comparable historical group must have recorded at least an 80% home-win rate
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That historical group must also have been profitable across the recorded dataset
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The fixture must pass all remaining Stats Profit selection criteria
The statistical rating is a research score used to identify comparable historical fixtures. It is not a direct prediction that an individual team has the same percentage chance of winning.
Premier League
Serie A
Ligue 1
Bundesliga
Primeira Liga
La Liga
Scottish Premiership
Superleague
First Division A
Judge the Record, Not a Single Number
No single statistic can prove that a football betting approach will remain profitable.
When assessing any betting service, consider the complete results record, the odds available, staking method, sample size, losing periods and how results have developed over time.
You can view the recorded Stats Profit results on our Results page.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.